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传言中的通州楼市:风未动市场已被搅热

来源: 南方日报网络版     时间: 2019年07月22日 08:16:09
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(  虽)(然)(通)(州)(的)(成)(交)(量)(不)(错)(,但)(实)(际)(成)(交)(价)(格)(并)(没)(有)(大)(幅)(上)(涨)(。一)(些)(业)(主)(在)(观)(望)(或)(者)(坐)(地)(涨)(价)(,但)(也)(未)(有)(成)(交)(。多)(年)(来)(政)(府)(对)(通)(州)(的)(规)(划)(在)(逐)(渐)(落)(实)(,包)(括)(未)(来)(可)(能)(会)(出)(台)(的)(积)(分)(落)(户)(政)(策)(细)(则)(,可)(能)(会)(对)(市)(场)(形)(成)(一)(个)(新)(的)(拉)(动)(。
  “上)(周)(日)(晚)(上)(9点)(半)(,我)(们)(销)(售)(得)(到)(通)(知)(,朝)(北)(8080周)(一)(会)(宣)(布)(涨)(价)(。然)(后)(销)(售)(就)(赶)(紧)(约)(了)(4位)(购)(买)(意)(向)(强)(烈)(的)(客)(户)(,当)(天)(晚)(上)(就)(签)(约)(了)(。”搜)(房)(网)(一)(位)(负)(责)(人)(告)(诉)(21世)(纪)(经)(济)(报)(道)(记)(者)(。
  自)(5月)(24日)(开)(始)(,“北)(京)(市)(政)(府)(要)(迁)(往)(通)(州)(”的)(传)(闻)(此)(起)(彼)(伏)(,尽)(管)(官)(方)(并)(未)(明)(确)(证)(实)(,但)(这)(让)(一)(度)(平)(淡)(的)(通)(州)(楼)(市)(再)(度)(火)(热)(起)(来)(。
  亚)(豪)(地)(产)(提)(供)(的)(新)(房)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,今)(年)(以)(来)(,通)(州)(区)(新)(房)(一)(直)(呈)(现)(稳)(步)(上)(涨)(趋)(势)(。2015年)(4月)(,北)(京)(市)(通)(州)(区)(新)(建)(住)(宅)(成)(交)(量)(为)(670套)(,5月)(份)(成)(交)(量)(上)(升)(至)(912套)(,6月)(份)(仅)(半)(月)(间)(,成)(交)(量)(已)(经)(高)(达)(655套)(。
  利)(好)(的)(催)(动)(
  6月)(13日)(,香)(港)(一)(家)(媒)(体)(报)(道)(称)(“权)(威)(渠)(道)(向)(本)(报)(证)(实)(,北)(京)(市)(四)(套)(班)(子)((市)(委)(、市)(政)(府)(、市)(人)(大)(、市)(政)(协)()将)(在)(今)(年)(国)(庆)(节)(前)(夕)(全)(部)(由)(城)(区)(迁)(往)(通)(州)(区)(,具)(体)(搬)(迁)(方)(案)(不)(日)(即)(将)(正)(式)(公)(开)(。”
  除)(了)(“市)(政)(府)(迁)(通)(州)(”的)(传)(闻)(,“副)(中)(心)(计)(划)(即)(将)(公)(布)(”、“通)(州)(环)(球)(影)(城)(项)(目)(10月)(开)(工)(”、“积)(分)(落)(户)(政)(策)(”等)(消)(息)(陆)(续)(出)(现)(,也)(让)(通)(州)(再)(次)(成)(为)(了)(公)(众)(关)(注)(的)(焦)(点)(区)(域)(。
  “现)(在)(通)(州)(成)(交)(量)(情)(况)(很)(好)(。我)(们)(店)(最)(近)(每)(个)(月)(都)(能)(卖)(20套)(。现)(在)(只)(给)(着)(急)(卖)(房)(的)(业)(主)(带)(客)(户)(,不)(着)(急)(卖)(的)(就)(不)(给)(带)(客)(户)(了)(。”链)(家)(地)(产)(二)(手)(房)(门)(店)(店)(长)(李)(鑫)(告)(诉)(21世)(纪)(经)(济)(报)(道)(记)(者)(。
  伟)(业)(我)(爱)(我)(家)(提)(供)(的)(数)(据)(显)(示)(,自)(2015年)(4月)(开)(始)(,北)(京)(市)(通)(州)(区)(二)(手)(房)(成)(交)(量)(已)(经)(连)(续)(两)(月)(过)(千)(套)(成)(交)(,同)(比)(2014年)(同)(期)(成)(交)(量)(翻)(倍)(增)(长)(。
  据)(亚)(豪)(机)(构)(统)(计)(,春)(节)(后)(,通)(州)(区)(纯)(商)(品)(住)(宅)(成)(交)(量)(每)(个)(月)(保)(持)(30%-40%的)(环)(比)(增)(长)(,也)(是)(唯)(一)(保)(持)(快)(速)(、稳)(定)(增)(长)(的)(行)(政)(区)(域)(。五)(月)(份)(,通)(州)(区)(纯)(商)(品)(住)(宅)(成)(交)(超)(过)(900套)(,仅)(六)(月)(上)(旬)(成)(交)(量)(就)(已)(经)(达)(到)(655套)(。
  亚)(豪)(机)(构)(市)(场)(总)(监)(郭)(毅)(表)(示)(,“按)(照)(这)(样)(的)(成)(交)(节)(奏)(,预)(计)(6月)(份)(整)(体)(成)(交)(量)(将)(达)(到)(1500套)(左)(右)(水)(平)(,这)(与)(2013年)(通)(州)(市)(场)(最)(活)(跃)(阶)(段)(的)(月)(度)(成)(交)(量)(基)(本)(持)(平)(。”
  通)(州)(新)(盘)(保)(利)(大)(都)(汇)(相)(关)(负)(责)(人)(称)(,他)(们)(所)(在)(的)(项)(目)(展)(示)(区)(即)(将)(正)(式)(对)(外)(开)(放)(,目)(前)(已)(进)(入)(排)(卡)(阶)(段)(,“目)(前)(的)(情)(况)(是)(,一)(个)(月)(500余)(张)(的)(火)(热)(排)(卡)(数)(量)(”。
  成)(交)(量)(的)(上)(涨)(是)(受)(到)(各)(种)(利)(好)(的)(推)(动)(。
  “如)(今)(的)(通)(州)(已)(不)(再)(是)(2008年)(的)(情)(形)(,而)(是)(站)(在)(了)(60分)(甚)(至)(70分)(的)(起)(跑)(线)(上)(。”北)(京)(房)(地)(产)(协)(会)(秘)(书)(长)(陈)(志)(表)(示)(。
  从)(通)(州)(区)(政)(府)(最)(新)(公)(布)(的)(“2015重)(点)(项)(目)(任)(务)(表)(”披)(露)(的)(40个)(项)(目)(清)(单)(看)(,环)(球)(影)(城)(项)(目)(将)(于)(今)(年)(10月)(正)(式)(动)(工)(;已)(经)(规)(划)(的)(至)(少)(四)(条)(轨)(道)(线)(将)(会)(连)(至)(通)(州)(、北)(京)(东)(六)(环)(及)(东)(向)(数)(条)(高)(速)(路)(,将)(加)(建)(或)(改)(造)(连)(接)(通)(州)(的)(出)(入)(口)(;此)(外)(,数)(所)(高)(校)(分)(校)(、附)(属)(中)(小)(学)(在)(通)(州)(的)(项)(目)(准)(备)(工)(作)(已)(经)(启)(动)(。目)(前)(,运)(河)(核)(心)(区)(共)(有)(16个)(产)(业)(开)(发)(项)(目)(落)(地)(,除)(9个)(续)(建)(项)(目)(外)(,其)(余)(7个)(将)(全)(面)(开)(工)(,预)(计)(年)(内)(可)(完)(成)(建)(设)(面)(积)(约)(130万)(平)(方)(米)(。
  万)(科)(北)(京)(营)(销)(负)(责)(人)(高)(广)(汉)(表)(示)(,利)(好)(消)(息)(不)(断)(释)(放)(的)(情)(况)(,间)(接)(带)(动)(了)(楼)(市)(升)(温)(,通)(州)(区)(域)(迎)(来)(了)(快)(速)(发)(展)(的)(最)(佳)(时)(机)(。
  房)(价)(缺)(乏)(上)(涨)(理)(由)(?
  李)(鑫)(告)(诉)(21世)(纪)(经)(济)(报)(道)(记)(者)(,虽)(然)(通)(州)(的)(成)(交)(量)(不)(错)(,但)(实)(际)(成)(交)(价)(格)(并)(没)(有)(大)(幅)(上)(涨)(。一)(些)(业)(主)(在)(观)(望)(或)(者)(坐)(地)(涨)(价)(,但)(也)(未)(有)(成)(交)(。
  陈)(志)(认)(为)(,通)(州)(房)(价)(并)(没)(有)(大)(幅)(涨)(价)(的)(理)(由)(。
  从)(房)(地)(产)(大)(周)(期)(角)(度)(看)(,关)(于)(通)(州)(定)(位)(为)(首)(都)(副)(中)(心)(的)(概)(念)(,早)(在)(2008年)(就)(已)(经)(提)(出)(。随)(后)(,北)(京)(市)(在)(通)(州)(的)(市)(政)(基)(础)(投)(资)(上)(做)(了)(很)(多)(工)(作)(,并)(非)(今)(天)(才)(有)(。从)(行)(政)(功)(能)(调)(整)(角)(度)(看)(,通)(州)(是)(距)(离)(北)(京)(最)(近)(的)(卫)(星)(城)(,调)(整)(部)(分)(行)(政)(职)(能)(到)(通)(州)(也)(做)(了)(很)(多)(年)(的)(思)(考)(。但)(政)(府)(究)(竟)(何)(时)(搬)(,搬)(来)(哪)(些)(机)(构)(仍)(然)(处)(在)(传)(闻)(阶)(段)(。在)(没)(有)(确)(切)(规)(划)(出)(来)(前)(,涨)(价)(没)(有)(基)(础)(。
  此)(外)(,按)(照)(常)(规)(,目)(前)(北)(京)(市)(正)(在)(对)(首)(都)(总)(体)(规)(划)(再)(次)(进)(行)(修)(编)(,而)(修)(编)(要)(对)(北)(京)(市)(经)(济)(发)(展)(、人)(口)(以)(及)(资)(源)(分)(配)(布)(局)(各)(方)(面)(进)(行)(非)(常)(详)(细)(的)(梳)(理)(和)(调)(整)(。显)(然)(,这)(是)(一)(个)(漫)(长)(的)(过)(程)(。
  陈)(志)(表)(示)(,他)(反)(对)(开)(发)(商)(过)(度)(借)(用)(政)(府)(搬)(迁)(这)(样)(的)(事)(情)(来)(为)(自)(己)(调)(价)(,特)(别)(是)(有)(些)(楼)(盘)(产)(品)(质)(量)(很)(差)(。不)(能)(为)(了)(某)(种)(特)(别)(的)(目)(的)(去)(炒)(作)(。
  不)(过)(,郭)(毅)(认)(为)(,数)(据)(显)(示)(通)(州)(楼)(市)(成)(交)(量)(正)(在)(稳)(步)(上)(涨)(,而)(多)(年)(来)(政)(府)(的)(规)(划)(也)(在)(逐)(渐)(落)(实)(,包)(括)(未)(来)(可)(能)(会)(出)(台)(的)(积)(分)(落)(户)(政)(策)(细)(则)(,可)(能)(会)(对)(市)(场)(形)(成)(一)(个)(新)(的)(拉)(动)(。
  “通)(州)(有)(了)(新)(城)(,有)(了)(积)(分)(落)(户)(制)(度)(,会)(在)(三)(年)(里)(实)(现)(6万)(非)(经)(济)(人)(口)(落)(户)(通)(州)(。如)(果)(是)(这)(样)(,一)(年)(两)(万)(套)(的)(需)(求)(对)(于)(通)(州)(的)(拉)(动)(不)(言)(而)(喻)(,再)(加)(上)(同)(步)(推)(进)(的)(产)(业)(引)(进)(,这)(也)(是)(对)(通)(州)(很)(大)(的)(利)(好)(支)(撑)(。至)(于)(政)(府)(搬)(迁)(的)(消)(息)(能)(否)(落)(地)(,最)(起)(码)(对)(市)(场)(是)(一)(个)(信)(心)(的)(拉)(动)(。”郭)(毅)(称)(。
  中)(国)(房)(地)(产)(测)(评)(中)(心)(主)(任)(、易)(居)(中)(国)(执)(行)(总)(裁)(丁)(祖)(昱)(从)(另)(外)(的)(角)(度)(也)(提)(出)(了)(一)(种)(担)(心)(。“北)(京)(今)(天)(已)(经)(是)(首)(堵)(了)(。在)(北)(京)(,从)(东)(城)(区)(到)(西)(城)(区)(往)(返)(,就)(像)(是)(出)(差)(。往)(往)(别)(人)(飞)(机)(都)(到)(了)(,北)(京)(车)(还)(没)(开)(到)(。现)(在)(的)(传)(言)(,可)(能)(会)(让)(北)(京)(城)(区)(到)(通)(州)(这)(18公)(里)(成)(为)(另)(一)(个)(交)(通)(梗)(阻)(点)(,甚)(至)(成)(为)(更)(大)(的)(阻)(塞)(点)(。无)(论)(进)(来)(还)(是)(出)(去)(,都)(可)(能)(成)(为)(一)(场)(灾)(难)(。”
  丁)(祖)(昱)(认)(为)(,倘)(若)(东)(迁)(传)(闻)(落)(地)(,通)(州)(房)(价)(将)(闻)(风)(而)(动)(。一)(二)(手)(房)(都)(会)(有)(可)(观)(的)(升)(幅)(,但)(随)(后)(房)(价)(是)(否)(能)(持)(续)(上)(升)(,存)(在)(巨)(大)(的)(疑)(问)(。一)(方)(面)(,随)(着)(交)(通)(问)(题)(和)(规)(划)(问)(题)(的)(逐)(渐)(暴)(露)(,行)(政)(中)(心)(和)(居)(住)(中)(心)(的)(矛)(盾)(也)(将)(日)(益)(凸)(显)(;另)(一)(方)(面)(,房)(价)(上)(升)(也)(将)(使)(通)(州)(客)(户)(群)(体)(发)(生)(巨)(大)(变)(化)(,所)(谓)(的)(不)(匹)(配)(也)(会)(出)(现)(。相)(信)(之)(后)(通)(州)(的)(房)(价)(也)(会)(出)(现)(诸)(多)(起)(落)(,一)(路)(攀)(升)(的)(情)(况)(应)(该)(很)(难)(见)(到)(。当)(然)(随)(之)(而)(来)(的)(,也)(可)(能)(是)(对)(通)(州)(、乃)(至)(整)(个)(北)(京)(房)(价)(的)(重)(新)(定)(位)(。
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